FPL Manager Points Distribution: Gameweek 1 Sample Analysis
A question recently came up on Reddit asking about the distribution of FPL manager scores. To answer this with actual data, I sampled 10,000 managers from the 10.2+ million who played Gameweek 1.
The Original Question
From r/FantasyPL:
"Has anyone seen a proper distribution graph of FPL points? Would be interesting to see what the actual distribution looks like."
Sample Results
The distribution shows a fairly normal curve centered around 51 points, with most managers scoring between 42-60 points (the middle 50%).
Key statistics from the sample:
- Mean: 51.1 points
- Median: 51 points
- Standard deviation: 13.5 points
- 95th percentile: 74 points (top 5%)
- 5th percentile: 29 points (bottom 5%)
What This Shows
The data reveals that FPL scores in early gameweeks follow a relatively tight normal distribution. The gap between doing well (60+ points) and struggling (40- points) is smaller than many might expect, often coming down to a few key decisions like captaincy choice or bench order.
Sample methodology: 10,000 randomly selected managers from 10,254,179 total active players in Gameweek 1. Interactive chart shows the actual distribution with a normal curve overlay for comparison.